What is confirmed is that Hugo and Rise are the two biggest contenders for Best Visual Effects, although I am still confident that HP72 is also in the running. My money would be on Rise, simply in the hopes that they actually reward the best effects of the year.
Outstanding Visual Effects in a Visual Effects-Driven Feature: "Rise of the Planet of the Apes"
Outstanding Supporting Visual Effects in a Feature Motion Picture: "Hugo"
Outstanding Visual Effects in an Animated Feature Motion Picture: "Rango"
Outstanding Animated Character in a Live Action Feature Motion Picture: "Rise of the Planet of the Apes" (Caesar)
Outstanding Animated Character in an Animated Feature Motion Picture: "Rango" (Rango)
Outstanding Created Environment in a Live Action Feature Motion Picture: "Transformers: Dark of the Moon" (155 Wacker Drive)
Outstanding Created Environment in an Animated Feature Motion Picture: "Rango" (Main Street Dirt)
Outstanding Virtual Cinematography in a Live Action Feature Motion Picture: "Hugo"
Outstanding Virtual Cinematography in an Animated Feature Motion Picture: "Rango"
Outstanding Models in a Feature Motion Picture: "Transformers: Dark of the Moon" (Driller)
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