Will Win - Jean Dujardin "The Artist"
Should Win - Brad Pitt "Moneyball" or Gary Oldman "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"
Could Win - George Clooney "The Descendants"
Commentary - I still maintain that Brad Pitt's effervescent performance in Moneyball is the best of the year, and a win for Gary Oldman would be a nice toast to his wonderful, yet unrewarded career. But most likely this comes down to two. George Clooney ran the critical circuit, and while he missed the SAG and BAFTA, we cannot forget that he won an Oscar in 2005 without winning either as well. He is Hollywood's Golden Boy, and The Descendants has been doing well as of lately. But Jean Dujardin did win the SAG and the BAFTA and he is in the Best Picture frontrunner. Plus, he has to express all of his emotion while only speaking two words in the entire film. I think it is close, but Dujardin takes the prize.