Monday, March 16, 2026

The Oscar Narrative: The End

The growing toxicity of the world just continues to permeate the Oscar race, this year, after the BAFTA controversy, it became even more divided, more fierce, more toxic, and it became a race about race, politics, history. It divided movie goers and film fanatics, with increasingly horrendous insults being slung at each other with reckless abandon. 

I think that instead, we should try to celebrate. Conan, as he ended his monologue, reminded us that the Oscars are for celebrating film. I always tell folks that my favorite film doesn't have to win for me to enjoy the Oscars. I am a film buff through and through. I love that no matter what for 98 years, we have gathered to celebrate film. Let's celebrate an industry veteran winning after years in the industry with little recognition, for a horror film nonetheless. Let's celebrate two of our finest filmmakers winning their first Oscars on the same night after years in the industry. Let's celebrate a big studio promoting three populist blockbusters winning eleven awards proving that studios can and need to be original, that big films can also be great, and that the theatrical experience is worth continuing to fight for in the coming years. 

My favorite film of the year, One Battle After Another (you will find out soon, so far behind on my personal awards this year), won Best Picture. It doesn't happen often, but when it does it is really cool. I also sat through so many ceremonies where my film didn't win, and it was still cool to be a part of the experience. I am so thrilled for the fantastic Jessie Buckley, Michael B. Jordan, Amy Madigan, Ryan Coogler, and Paul Thomas Anderson. I'm not the biggest fan of Sean Penn personally, but he was jaw-dropping in the film, and the performance is worthy of recognition. I love that the first woman won Best Cinematography, that we finally have a casting category, that big bold genre films did well across the board, and that some really great films, performances, and artwork was recognized. Do I have some thins I would change? Absolutely. Was the ceremony too long, too clunky, and still has issues? Of Course. I'll be long dead before that changes. Did I enjoy it? Absolutely. 

I have been doing this for almost 18 years, as of July. I started as a freshman in college, and no matter what has happened in my life, I have always turned to this blog. Not a lot of people read this, but those who do are loyal and amazing. But I don't really do it for anyone else. I do it for me. I have a problem with saying no in my life, so it is kind of nice to have something that is just for me, whether anyone else notices or cares or not. I love film. I think that Conan said it best as he ended his monologue when he noted: 

"Yes, tonight is an international event. If I can be serious for just a moment, everyone watching right now around the world is all too aware that these are very chaotic, frightening times, okay? It's at moments like these that I believe that the Oscars are particularly resonant. Check it out. 31 countries across six continents are represented this evening. And every film we salute is the product of thousands of people speaking different languages, working hard to make something of beauty. We pay tribute tonight, not just to film, but to the ideals of global artistry, collaboration, patience, resilience, and that rarest of qualities today, optimism. So let us please celebrate, not because we think all is well, but because we work and hope for better in the days ahead."

Let's hope this spirit of collaboration, this global connectivity, and this continued love of film never die. See you all in Year 18. 

Sunday, March 15, 2026

98th Academy Awards

Best Picture - One Battle After Another
Best Director - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Best Actor - Michael B. Jordan "Sinners"
Best Actress - Jessie Buckley "Hamnet"
Best Supporting Actor - Sean Penn "One Battle After Another" 
Best Supporting Actress - Amy Madigan "Weapons"
Best Adapted Screenplay - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Best Original Screenplay - Ryan Coogler "Sinners"
Best Animated Feature - KPop Demon Hunters
Best Documentary Feature - Mr. Nobody Against Putin
Best International Feature - Sentimental Value (Norway)
Best Casting - Cassandra Kulukundis "One Battle After Another"
Best Cinematography - Autumn Durald Arkapaw "Sinners"
Best Costume Design - Kate Hawley "Frankenstein" 
Best Film Editing - Andy Jurgensen "One Battle After Another"
Best Makeup and Hairstyling - Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey "Frankenstein"
Best Original Score Ludwig Goransson "Sinners"
Best Original Song - EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seo and Teddy Park "Golden" from "KPop Demon Hunters"
Best Production Design - Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau "Frankenstein"
Best Sound - Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta "F1"
Best Visual Effects - Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett "Avatar: Fire & Ash"
Best Animated Short - The Girl Who Cried Pearls
Best Documentary Short - All the Empty Rooms
Best Live Action Short Film - (TIE) The Singers and Two People Exchanging Saliva

46th Golden Raspberry "Razzie" Award "Winners"

WORST PICTURE
War Of The Worlds 

WORST ACTOR
Ice Cube / War Of The Worlds

WORST ACTRESS
Rebel Wilson / Bride Hard

WORST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Scarlet Rose Stallone / Gunslingers

WORST SUPPORTING ACTOR
All Seven Artificial Dwarfs / Snow White

RAZZIE REDEEMER AWARD
Kate Hudson for “Song Sung Blue”

WORST SCREEN COMBO
All Seven Artificial Dwarfs / Snow White

WORST PREQUEL, REMAKE, RIP-OFF or SEQUEL
War of the Worlds 

WORST DIRECTOR 
Rich Lee / War Of The Worlds

WORST SCREENPLAY
War Of The Worlds  / Kenny Golde, Marc Hyman

RAZZIE REDEEMER AWARD
Kate Hudson / Song Sung Blue

Saturday, March 14, 2026

The Oscar Narrative: Final Winner Predictions - Best Picture and Best Director

Best Picture
Will Win - One Battle After Another
Could Win - Sinners
Should Win - One Battle After Another
Commentary - Sinners' SAG win gave it the momentum, and there is a lot of sentiment after the BAFTA incident. It is incredibly popular. But it is also a horror/musical, and up until SAG, it has not done as well with the industry votes compared to One Battle After Another. Sinners benefits from the longer season, and momentum. One Battle benefits from previous industry support, and more support with the international crowd. I think One Battle is an audacious masterpiece, and while I really love Sinners as well, One Battle is on another level. I am sticking with One Battle because I feel like it will do better on the preferential ballot, but it is a fight to the finish. 

Best Director
Will Win - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Could Win - Ryan Coogler "Sinners"
Should Win - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Commentary - I feel like no matter what happens in Best Picture, that Paul Thomas Anderson is in a strong position to win Best Director. He has won every major precursor, and is incredibly overdue. But Ryan Coogler could be this year's Bong Joon-ho, where if Sinners wins BP, it could bring him along for the ride. 

Friday, March 13, 2026

The Oscar Narrative: Final Winner Predictions - Best Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, and Supporting Actress

Best Actor
Will Win - Michael B. Jordan "Sinners"
Could Win - Leonardo DiCaprio "One Battle After Another" or Wagner Moura "The Secret Agent"
Should Win - Moura, DiCaprio, or Ethan Hawke "Blue Moon"
Commentary - The SAG win changed the game for Michael B. Jordan, after months of it looking like a Chalamet win. I would love to know who was second place at BAFTA, and I don't think it was Jordan. A lot of folks think it might have been Chalamet, but I have a feeling it might have been DiCaprio. Or maybe not. Jordan's SAG win is really the biggest indicator that we have, and Sinners is incredibly popular. I think he wins. The wildcard is Moura, who some are thinking could really shock. We'll have to wait and see. 

Best Actress
Will Win - Jessie Buckley "Hamnet'
Could Win - Rose Byrne "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You"
Should Win - Buckley or Byrne
Commentary - Honestly, voters cannot go wrong with any of these five performances. Great actresses, great performances. It's Buckley's to lose. Byrne is the dark horse with the Globe win, but Buckley is the only acting contender to hit all four major televised awards. It is hers to lose. 

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win - Sean Penn "One Battle After Another"
Could Win - Stellan Skarsgard "Sentimental Value" or Delroy Lindo "Sinners"
Should Win - Sean Penn or Benicio Del Toro "One Battle After Another"
Commentary - Sean Penn wasn't even on the winning radar for most Oscarologists after the slew of critics awards were split amongst Skarsgard, Elordi, and Penn's co-star Benicio Del Toro. 

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win - Amy Madigan "Weapons"
Could Win - Wunmi Mosaku "Sinners" or Teyana Taylor "One Battle After Another"
Should Win - Taylor or Madigan
Commentary - Madigan seems to have so much support, despite being the film's only nomination. I think she won SAG by a landslide. But when you consider the entire Academy, and the fact that she wasn't nominated at BAFTA, then I take a second look at Wunmi Mosaku, who won at BAFTA, or even Teyana Taylor, who won the Globe, and has been campaigning hard. I still think that Madigan can pull it off, the buzz just seems to be in her favor. But if Mosaku or Taylor win instead, it is proof that lone nominations are just tough. 

The Oscar Narrative: Final Winner Predictions - Best Adapted and Original Screenplay

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Could Win - Chloe Zhao and Maggie O'Farrell "Hamnet"
Should Win - Paul Thomas Anderson "One Battle After Another"
Commentary - No matter what happens in Picture or Director, the two juggernauts battling out this year will most likely win Oscars, which is actually kind of cool. This brilliant script from PTA also is brilliant, and is incredibly worthy. He has swept everything, and he should easily win here.

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win - Ryan Coogler "Sinners"
Could Win - Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier "Sentimental Value"
Should Win - Ryan Coogler "Sinners"
Commentary - See Adapted Screenplay, and substitute PTA for Coogler. 

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

The Oscar Narrative: Final Winner Predictions - Best Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, International Feature, and Casting

Best Animated Feature
Will Win - KPop Demon Hunters
Could Win - Zootopia 2
Should Win - Zootopia 2
Commentary - I really liked this year's inspired lineup, and I am just not on board with the KPop Demon Hunter craze. It's fine, but I really think that Zootopia 2 was a well-made, funny, and relevant sequel that was just a better film. 

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win - Mr. Nobody Against Putin
Could Win - The Perfect Neighbor
Should Win - The Perfect Neighbor or The Alabama Solution
Commentary - The Perfect Neighbor has won hardly any of the major industry awards, other than the critics circuit. It is the strongest of the films in terms of quality, is definitely timely, and it is on Netflix, which means it has been seen. But after BAFTA went for Mr. Nobody Against Putin, I just hesitated, then I went NGNG and decided to switch. Last year, they missed for the Christopher Reeves film, which didn't make the Oscars cut. Otherwise, it has been about 2/3 accurate in recent years. I think the title is timely (especially with the headlines during the end of voting), and I think it upsets. 

Best International Feature
Will Win - Sentimental Value
Could Win - The Secret Agent
Should Win - It Was Just an Accident
Commentary - After last year's win for Brazil, a lot of people are bullish on the repeat for The Secret Agent. It could definitely happen in a heated race with two BP nominees. But Sentimental Value is not Emilia Perez. There is not a lot of controversy, it has a lot of support, and I think it is the more accessible of the two. It's a tough race, but I predict Sentimental Value comes out on top. For my money, I'm still rooting for a not-going-to-happen win for It Was Just an Accident. 

Best Casting
Will Win - Sinners
Could Win - One Battle After Another or The Secret Agent 
Should Win - Sinners
Commentary - While we are debating whether Sinners' win for Best Ensemble at SAG equals Best Picture, I can definitely say that it equates to winning the inaugural Casting award. The casting, blending old and new, and perfectly cast roles, is definitely award worthy. 

Monday, March 9, 2026

The Oscar Narrative: Final Winner Predictions - Cinematography, Costume Design, Film Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling, and Production Design

Best Cinematography
Will Win - Michael Bauman "One Battle After Another"
Could Win - Autumn Durald Arkapaw "Sinners"
Should Win - Michael Bauman "One Battle After Another"
Commentary - The critics went hard for Sinners, but when the guilds came along, One Battle After Another's Michael Bauman won BAFTA and ASC, and honestly, it makes sense when you watch both films. This is one of those categories that could show whether Sinners is in upset mode, but I think it's One Battle's to lose.

Best Costume Design
Will Win - Frankenstein
Could Win - Sinners or One Battle After Another
Should Win - Frankenstein
Commentary - CDG plus BAFTA, plus the crafts favorite means that Frankenstein should win, and it is well-deserved. But, after the Black Panther: Wakanda Forever upset, never discount the great Ruth Carter. That being said, those costumes were more iconic and elaborate, which often does well here. Again, that leans towards Frakenstein.

Best Film Editing
Will Win - One Battle After Another
Could Win - F1 or Sinners
Should Win - One Battle After Another
Commentary - ACE Eddie plus BAFTA is hard to beat, and it is one of the longest films of the year, that doesn't feel that long at all. That is the sign of brilliant editing, along with the constant tonal shifts, and expert action sequences. Watch out for F1, and again, if Sinners wins here, its winning BP.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win - Frankenstein    
Could Win - Sinners
Should Win - Frankenstein
Commentary - Will be jaw-dropped if it doesn't win here.

Best Production Design
Will Win - Frankenstein
Could Win - Sinners or Hamnet
Should Win - Frankenstein or One Battle After Another
Commentary - Again, the pure audacity and brilliance of Frankenstein (plus ADG and BAFTA) should equal a win here. One Battle would be an inspired choice. 

2026 Writers Guild of America (WGA) Award Winners

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Sinners, Written by Ryan Coogler; Warner Bros. Pictures

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
One Battle After Another, Screenplay by Paul Thomas Anderson, Screen Story by Paul Thomas Anderson, Inspired by the novel Vineland by Thomas Pynchon; Warner Bros. Pictures - WINNER

DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY
2,000 Meters to Andriivka, Written by Mstyslav Chernov; Frontline Features

DRAMA SERIES
The Pitt, Written by Cynthia Adarkwa, Simran Baidwan, Valerie Chu, R. Scott Gemmill, Elyssa Gershman, Joe Sachs, Noah Wyle; HBO | Max

COMEDY SERIES
The Studio, Written by Evan Goldberg, Alex Gregory, Peter Huyck, Frida Perez, Seth Rogen; Apple TV 

NEW SERIES
The Pitt, Written by Cynthia Adarkwa, Simran Baidwan, Valerie Chu, R. Scott Gemmill, Elyssa Gershman, Joe Sachs, Noah Wyle; HBO | Max 

LIMITED SERIES
Dying for Sex, Written by Sheila Callaghan, Harris Danow, Madeleine George, Elizabeth Meriwether, Amelia Roper, Kim Rosenstock, Sasha Stewart, Sabrina Wu, Keisha Zollar; FX/Hulu 

TV & STREAMING MOTION PICTURES
Deep Cover, Written by Derek Connolly & Colin Trevorrow; Prime Video

ANIMATION
“Shira Can’t Cook” (Long Story Short) Written by Mehar Sethi; Netflix

EPISODIC DRAMA
“7:00 A.M.” (The Pitt), Written by R. Scott Gemmill; HBO | Max

EPISODIC COMEDY
“Prelude” (The Righteous Gemstones), Written by John Carcieri, Jeff Fradley, Danny R. McBride; HBO | Max 

COMEDY/VARIETY SERIES – TALK OR SKETCH
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Senior Writers: Daniel O'Brien, Owen Parsons, Charlie Redd, Joanna Rothkopf, Seena Vali; Writers: Johnathan Appel, Ali Barthwell, Tim Carvell, Liz Hynes, Ryan Ken, Sofía Manfredi, John Oliver, Taylor Kay Phillips, Chrissy Shackelford; HBO | Max

COMEDY/VARIETY SPECIALS
Marc Maron: Panicked, Written by Marc Maron; HBO | Max 

QUIZ AND AUDIENCE PARTICIPATION
Celebrity Jeopardy!, Head Writer: Bobby Patton Writers: Kyle Beakley, Michael Davies, Terence Gray, Amy Ozols, Tim Siedell, David Levinson-Wilk; ABC

DAYTIME DRAMA
The Young and the Restless, Associate Head Writers: Jeff Beldner, Marla Kanelos, Dave Ryan; Writers: Susan Banks, Amanda L. Beall, Marin Gazzaniga, Rebecca McCarty, Madeleine Phillips; CBS/Paramount +

CHILDREN’S EPISODIC, LONG FORM AND SPECIALS
"When We Lose Someone" (Tab Time), Written by Sean Presant; YouTube - WINNER

SHORT FORM STREAMING
The Rabbit Hole with Jimmy Kimmel, Writers: Jimmy Kimmel & Jesse Joyce; YouTube 

DOCUMENTARY SCRIPT – CURRENT EVENTS
"Trump's Power & the Rule of Law" (Frontline), Written by Michael Kirk & Mike Wiser; PBS - 

DOCUMENTARY SCRIPT – OTHER THAN CURRENT EVENTS
"Forgotten Hero: Walter White and the NAACP" (American Experience), Written by Rob Rapley; PBS -

NEWS SCRIPT – REGULARLY SCHEDULED, BULLETIN, OR BREAKING REPORT
"Devastating Flooding in Texas" (World News Tonight with David Muir), Written by David Muir, Karen Mooney, and Dave Bloch; ABC News 

NEWS SCRIPT – ANALYSIS, FEATURE, OR COMMENTARY
Remembering Palestinian Journalists Killed by Israeli Forces (Ayman), Written by Lisa Salinas; MSNBC 

DIGITAL NEWS
"An Isolated Boarding School Promised to Help Troubled Girls. Former Students Say They Were Abused," Written by Sebastian Murdock and Taiyler Mitchell; HuffPost 

40th American Society of Cinematographers (ASC) Award Winners

Theatrical Feature Film
Michael Bauman, “One Battle After Another”

Episode of a Half-Hour Series
Adam Newport-Berra, “The Studio” (“The Oner”)

Limited or Anthology Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Pete Konczal, “Black Rabbit” (“Isle of Joy”)

Episode of a One-Hour Regular Series
(TIE) Alex Disenhof, “Task” (“Crossings”) AND Christophe Nuyens, “Andor” (“I Have Friends Everywhere”)

Spotlight Award
Mátyás Erdély, “Orphan”

Documentary Award
Mstyslav Chernov and Alex Babenko, “2000 Meters to Andriivka”

ASC Music Video Award
Rodrigo Prieto, “The Fate of Ophelia” (Performed by Taylor Swift)