Will Win - Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Could Win - Undefeated, Hell and Back Again, Pina
Should Win - About three or four who didn't make the cut.
Commentary - Without Project Nim or The Interrupters, this category is simply defunct. It also means that in many ways it is wide open. I could honestly see any of them making the cut and taking home gold. Pina is a visually stunning film, but might be a little too out there for the Academy. Undefeated is an uplifting tale about a high school football team, but may not tackle a serious enough of an issue for the politically correct Academy. That is why I think it comes down to two. I might change this one before my final list on Sunday, because the story of a solider facing psychological damage after coming home for war, Hell and Back Again, sounds like a film right up the Academy's alley. But according to the buzz, Paradise Lost 3 about the West Memphis 3 seems to be the film to beat. The subject matter has been highly publicized, and it has stellar reviews.