Best Pop Vocal Album
Will Win/Should Win - Adele "21"
Could Win - Bruno Mars, Lady Gaga, or Rihanna
Commentary - I would love a Cee-Lo upset, but since he is the only one of the five that didn't get an Album of the Year nomination, I have to think that he is probably not going to win. This leaves the other four, but my money is on the strength of either Adele or Lady Gaga. This is Adele's year though and she had the biggest and arguably the best album of the bunch, and I would be shocked if she doesn't win here.
Best Pop Solo Vocal Performance
Will Win/Should Win - Adele "Someone Like You"
Could Win - Bruno Mars "Grenade" or Katy Perry "Firework"
Commentary - Pink's anthem to those who have been pushed around is awesome, but she really doesn't have a shot. Lady Gaga is probably also out as she chose to submit You and I instead of Born This Way. It comes down to the two Record of the Year nominees and Adele. Not being Rolling in the Deep could hurt, as Someone Like You is the smaller hit of the two, which could lead the way for Mars or Perry. But my guess is that Grammy voters love Adele so much they are not even paying attention to which song is nominated.
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
Will Win/Should Win - Tony Bennett and Amy Winehouse "Body and Soul"
Could Win - Foster the People "Pumped Up Kicks"
Commentary - In another year, the infectious Pumped Up Kicks would have a great shot, as would Moves Like Jagger. But this is no ordinary year, as Amy Winehouse's death puts this category in perspective. Body and Soul is a wonderful record, and hopefully a Grammy win will be a lasting tribute to her short, but stunning musical career.
Best Traditional Pop Album
Will Win/Should Win - Tony Bennett "Duets II"
Could Win - Barbra Streisand "What Matters Most"
Commentary - Two musical legends go head to head in this category, but Bennett's was a huge hit, even on the mainstream Billboard, and all of the extra talent involved with the album should be enough to get it the gold trophy.
Best Electronica/Dance Album
Will Win/Should Win - Robyn "Body Talk Part 3"
Could Win - David Guetta "Nothing But the Beat" or Skrillex "Scary Monsters and Nice Sprites"
Commentary - A three way battle between some tough choices means this category could go either way. Skrillex got the Best New Artist award, but members may not be ready to honor them yet. David Guetta is probably the more populist choice, as he has had some radio hits, and might be too much to beat. My bet though is that Robyn, who has gotten a string of nominations in this category recently, finally takes home the gold.
Best Dance Recording
Will Win - Robyn "Call Your Girlfriend"
Should Win - Duck Sauce "Barbra Streisand"
Could Win - Duck Sauce or David Guetta "Sunshine" or Skrillex or Deadmau5
Commentary - Without a radio hit in the bunch, it is hard to pick, although I am happy the Grammys finally honored actual dance recordings and not just techno-hyped pop hits. So I am sticking with Robyn, but could honestly see any of these take the prize.