Will Win - Octavia Spencer "The Help"
Could Win - Jessica Chastain "The Help" or Berenice Bejo "The Artist"
Should Win - Spencer, Chastain, or Melissa McCarthy "Bridesmaids"
Commentary - The supporting actress category this year lacks the mystery of last years, where there was a split among BAFTA/SAG. This year, Octavia Spencer has dominated the critical circuit, and swept the major awards. If anyone other than her wins, I will be floored. It is my hope that for a little fun, she walks up to the podium and tells her fellow nominees to eat her shit. But alas, she is one classy and wonderful lady, and will be only humble and appreciative when she wins her first Academy Award.