Will Win - Woody Allen "Midnight in Paris"
Could Win - Michel Hazanavicius "The Artist"
Should Win - Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo "Bridesmaids"
Commentary - This one is tough, as in most years The Artist would be an easy winner. But it has two things going against it. One, it is a silent movie. Even those infatuated with the film may have a hard time giving a screenplay award to a film with no dialogue. The other obstacle is the great Woody Allen. This is the first of his films in a long time to get a Best Picture nomination, and since its premeire in the summer people, particularly Academy members have not been able to shut up about it. So my guess is that it gets something, and what a better place than to honor Woody one more time. For the record, if I had a vote, it would go to incredibly hilarious, yet heartfelt script of Bridesmaids.