Will Win/Should Win - Adele "Rolling in the Deep"
Could Win - Katy Perry "Firework", Bon Iver "Holocene", Mumford & Sons "The Cave"
Commentary - The Recording Academy has usually gone for things such as Bon Iver or Mumford & Sons as safe rock choices. And Katy Perry had a huge hit. But the biggest hit of the year, which has the perfect combination of old school sensibililty and new school popularity is Rolling in the Deep. If anything else wins, I will be shocked.