Will Win - The Artist
Should Win - The Tree of Life, Hugo, War Horse, or The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Could Win - The Tree of Life or Hugo
Commentary - Of all the nominees, The Artist, in my opinion, has the worst cinematography, and honestly should not have a shot at hell of winning. That being said, it is the Best Picture frontrunner, and its next biggest competition, The Tree of Life, which did take the ASC award, has not other below the belt technical nominations, and it has been a long time since a film has won this award without at least one other tech nod. I think that because it is black and white, The Artist will seem distinct, and manage to create nice images without any color. This is that I could see changing before Sunday, but for right now I am going with the power and buzz of The Artist.