July Predictions
Happy Feet 2
Kung Fu Panda 2
Rango
Other Contenders - Rio, The Adventures of Tintin, Arthur Christmas, Winnie the Pooh, Puss in Boots, Cars 2, Gnomeo and Juliet, The Lion of Judah, The Rabbi's Cat, Chico & Rita
Commentary - Wow, this year is so weak for animation, especially with Cars 2 completely bombing. Unless a late bloomer comes in and steals the scene, a less-than-stellar winner will most likely emerge. We also don't know yet how many nominees there will be. My guess is only three this year, so at this point that is what I'm going with. But the rules have changed and some of these need distribution before they can be eligible. Kung Fu Panda 2 and Rango got pretty good reviews as well as good box office, so although they don't compare to previous nominees, they both look to be good shops. In the last slot I am currently going with the sequel to a previous winner in this category Happy Feet 2. I personally didn't like the first one, but apparently the Academy did, so whose to say the second won't at least get a nomination? If The Adventures of Tin Tin is eligible (which could go either way), and is good, then it could be a dark horse contender. Also Winnie the Pooh may be light and short, but its gotten pretty good reviews, and it tugs at the heartstrings, which may sway some voters its way.
What is the matter with you?
ReplyDeleteWinnie the Pooh has gotten better reviews than Rango and KFP2. Check RottenTomatoes.com! It's nostalgic and whimiscal, it will get nominated. I nearly fell off my chair laughing when you suggested Arthur Christmas was going to get nominated. Yea.... OK.
First of all, they all got decent reviews, and Rango had a higher Metacritic than Winnie the Pooh. Furthermore, I did say that Winnie the Pooh had a great shot at getting in, but its box office isn't that great and its so short, many may not think it is even deserving of a feature length award. Regarding Arthur Christmas, I simply put it on the list as a potential because it is such a weak year for animation and I tried to put as many films as I knew that were simply being released. Although it does feature the voices of Bill Nighy, Jim Broadbent, James McAvoy, Hugh Laurie, and Imelda Staunton, so I don't think you can discount it yet. Finally, and probably most importantly, reviews are important, but they are not everything, and just because a film has better reviews does not mean it will automatically be an Oscar contender.
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