Sunday, February 10, 2013

2013 Grammy Award Predictions: Album of the Year

Will Win - Mumford & Sons "Babel"

Could Win - fun. "Some Nights", Frank Ocean "Channel Orange", or Black Keys "El Camino"

Should Win - Black Keys "El Camino"

Commentary - Because there is no clear frontrunner in this years races, I am predicting a three way split between Record, Song, and Album of the Year. This is normally not a smart move, but this Grammy year is an interesting one, and even among the General categories, there is a lot of confusion, and not a lot of overlap. Conventional wisdom says that because fun is nominated in all four, it is going to win. Don't get me wrong, both fun, and Frank Ocean are possibilities, but this award has always favored more veteran performers. Black Keys could easily win, but I think that the popularity of Babel (which is still in the top ten in terms of sales), plus the upward rise of Mumford & Sons will be enough to put it over the top despite its lack of Record of the Year and Song of the Year nominations.

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