Will Win - Louis C.K. "Louie - So Did the Fat Lady"
Should Win - Louis C.K. "Louie - So Did the Fat Lady"
Could Win - Simon Blackwell, Tony Roche, Armando Iannucci "Veep - Special Relationship" or Liz Friedman and Jenji Kohan "Orange is the New Black - I Wasn't Ready (Pilot)"
Commentary - These writing and directing awards are hard to gauge. You would think that, like at the Oscars, that they are directly related to the top prize. But that is not always the case, and these panels have a tendency to throw some curve balls at us. It would seem that this is a two-way race. Orange is the New Black is the hot new show, and its pilot will certainly have its supporters. After missing out in this race (surprisingly) the last two years, Veep, led by its Oscar-nominated writer Armando Iannucci, has a knock out episode submission featuring the veep in relations with the British. Both are great episodes, and both shows have a lot of other potential wins including Best Comedy Series. Louie, on the other hand, most likely is not in the running for the top prize despite several nominations in a row. While it is a brilliant show, it is just not the type of show that wins this category, at least not yet. That being said, it has already won this award before, and while the show may never win the top prize, Louis C.K. has won several Emmys over the years and is clearly a beloved icon on television these days. And anyone who watches So Did the Fat Lady, particularly the incredible monologue by the snubbed Sarah Baker. It was not only a brilliant feat of acting, but was a perfectly constructed script that I think will end up being rewarded by fellow writers who will see its utter brilliance.