Will Win - Anna Gunn "Breaking Bad"
Should Win - Anna Gunn "Breaking Bad" or Christine Baranski "The Good Wife"
Could Win - Christine Baranski "The Good Wife" or Joanne Froggatt "Downton Abbey"
Commentary - Last year I wasn't sure if Anna Gunn could beat the great Maggie Smith. She had won two years in a row for the same role, and she was, well, Maggie Smith, a beloved icon. But Gunn had the better episode, and voters agreed. This proved two things: 1) This particular panel actually watched the episode, and 2)That Maggie Smith is beatable. That being said, while I didn't list her above, I would not discount Maggie Smith ever. Just because she can be beaten, doesn't mean she will be. I do however think though that this year is completely out-shined by her co-star Joanne Frogatt, whose material this year, especially the episode she submitted regarding rape, is jaw-dropping good. Plus, her emotion in the story line this year fixes one of the big problems that Downton actors have had in the past, and that is that they are stuffy and subtle. She is far from it in her last scene, and it could help her take home a surprise upset at the Emmys. My personal choice this year would be Christine Baranski. She has always been fantastic on The Good Wife, and this year, she, and the rest of the cast, were given so much juicy material that she finally has a shot of winning. She gets to mourn the lost of Will, and gets some ferocity as well, and proves why she is a legend, and one of the best. Unfortunately for all of these women though, it looks like sometimes things do come full circle, and it looks like it will be circling back to Anna Gunn. By submitting Ozymandias, she has cemented the fact that no one will have a better episode than she will. That doesn't mean her win is a sure thing, we know that Emmy voters are a quirky bunch. But when you sit down and consider the material of all of these incredibly talented women, it is hard to bet against Anna Gunn.