Will Win - Julie Bowen "Modern Family"
Could Win - Jane Krakowski "30 Rock", Mayim Bialik "The Big Bang Theory" or Jane Lynch "Glee"
Should Win - Jane Krakowski "30 Rock"
Commentary - Since 30 Rock's inception, Jane Krakowski has always been a scene stealer, and the last couple seasons, she has been pulling more than her own weight in the acting department. I was really hoping that after missing the cut last year, that she would finally win an Emmy for the show's final season. And yes, it is definitely a possibility. She has great scenes in her episode, and there is clearly a lot of sentimentality behind the show's ending. But I think she is currently in second place. In third and fourth are Bialik and Lynch. Bialik is basically a female Sheldon, which has earned Jim Parson's two Emmys, and her episode is literally laugh out loud funny. Many people (including myself) were shocked when Lynch got back into this category after Glee fell so hard in terms of quality and Emmy love in Season 3. Season 4 was a lot better, and clearly she is a popular person within the Academy. She also has a over-the-top episode that includes good old fashioned Sue Sylvester hate, and a colorful and showy song number (Nicki Minaj's Super Bass). I don't think she will win, but I think that she can. In the end though, it is hard to argue against Julie Bowen. She is always great on Modern Family, has a great episode, and has won twice in a row, which is actually a low number streak in this particular category. Plus, where Jenna is almost a caricature, Clair is a full-fledged character that has attracted voters before. It's a close race, but I expect the incumbent to prevail.