Will Win - Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Veep"
Could Win - Laura Dern "Enlightened", Tina Fey "30 Rock", or Amy Poehler "Parks & Recreation"
Should Win - Amy Poehler "Parks & Recreation"
Commentary - No character has won more than once in this category since Patricia Heaton at the beginning of the last decade. Julia Louis-Dreyfus won her second last year, but for a different show than her first win in this category. This streak says something about the panels, and that is that in this particular category, they have preferred fresh winners each year. That is why my pick of Julia Louis-Dreyfuss is tenative at best. She is the incumbent, Veep got a lot more support from the actor's branch this year, and her episode is definitely one of the best, as she is absolutely hilarious. Plus, she is Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, and, at this point, is television royalty. But she definitely has some stiff competition. Even though Lena Dunham and Edie Falco are in my fifth and sixth slots, they both have great episodes and both are clearly liked by the Television Academy. So a win from them would not be shocking at all. But I think there are three other ladies that have the best shot at taking down Louis-Dreyfuss. Parks & Rec may have fallen out of Emmy favor, but Amy Poehler is hilarious, has a great episode submission, and has gone so long without a win for both Parks and for SNL in the supporting category. Tina Fey submitted the series finale, and she has some really nice moments throughout the episode. She also won the SAG this year, and there is a lot of love and sentiment surrounding 30 Rock. Laura Dern was a surprise nominee, but she is a serious threat for the win. She gets to have a kind of overly dramatic, and slightly comedic role in her tape, and as we know theatrics do extremely well in this category over more subtle performances. But in the end, I think we are going to have our first repeat winner in twelve years, as Julia Louis-Dreyfus certaintly feels like the frontrunner.