Will Win - The Americans
Could Win - House of Cards
Should Win - The Mindy Project
Commentary - This is a tight race as both House of Cards and The Americans made it into Program of the Year and New Program. House of Cards seems like the most obvious choice after it did so well at the Emmy Nominations. But I think that The Americans, which also got into the Drama and Individual Achievement (for Matthew Rhys) categories, will have more support from the TCA and take home this prize.
Will Win - Breaking Bad
Could Win - Game of Thrones or Homeland
Should Win - Breaking Bad or Game of Thrones
Commentary - Another tight race, as Game of Thrones was last year's winner, and Homeland was last year's New Program winner. But Breaking Bad has never won the top prize, and it is having a banner year in terms of awards buzz. I think that in the end it will finally win the big award.