Post-Toronto Oscar Predictions

So the Toronto International Film Festival has once again launched us into full Oscar mode with a lot of big contenders having their debuts. In October, I will do full predictions and analysis, which will include the NYFF and other September releases. But in the aftermath of TIFF here are my current predictions:

Best Picture
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Master
The Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director
Ben Affleck "Argo"
Paul Thomas Anderson "The Master"
Peter Jackson "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey"
David O. Russell "The Silver Linings Playbook"
Steven Spielberg "Lincoln"

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis "Lincoln"
John Hawkes "The Sessions"
Hugh Jackman "Les Miserables"
Joaquin Phoenix "The Master"
Denzel Washington "Flight"

Best Actress
Marion Cotillard "Rust & Bone"
Viola Davis "Won't Back Down"
Jennifer Lawrence "The Silver Linings Playbook"
Emanuelle Riva "Amour"
Quenvzhane Wallis "Beasts of the Southern Wild"

Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin "Argo"
Robert DeNiro "The Silver Linings Playbook"
Leonardo DiCaprio "Django Unchained"
Dwight Henry "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Philip Seymour Hoffman "The Master"

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams "The Master"
Sally Field "Lincoln"
Anne Hathaway "Les Miserables"
Helen Hunt "The Sessions"
Maggie Smith "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"

Best Adapted Screenplay
Chris Terrio "Argo"
Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Peter Jackson, Phillippa Boyens, Fran Walsh, and Guillermo Del Toro "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey"
Tony Kushner, John Logan, and Paul Webb "Lincoln"
David O. Russell "The Silver Linings Playbook"

Best Original Screenplay
Michael Hanake "Amour"
Quentin Tarantino "Django Unchained"
Paul Thomas Anderson "The Master"
Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola "Moonrise Kingdom"
Mark Boal "Zero Dark Thirty"

Best Animated Feature
Brave
Frankenweenie
Le Tableau
The Rabbi's Cat
Rise of the Guardians