Thursday, January 18, 2018

The Oscar Narrative: Final Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

Final Nomination Predictions
Willem Dafoe "The Florida Project"
Woody Harrelson "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri"
Richard Jenkins "The Shape of Water"
Christopher Plummer "All the Money in the World"
Sam Rockwell "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri"

Other Contenders - Armie Hammer "Call Me By Your Name", Steve Carell "Battle of the Sexes", Michael Stuhlbarg "Call Me By Your Name"

Commentary - Three guys got both SAG and BAFTA: Dafoe, Harrelson, and Rockwell, and I think all three will also get an Oscar nod. Steve Carell took a SAG spot, but I really don't see that crossing over. Armie Hammer had a lot of heat early on, but missing SAG and BAFTA when the film showed up in other categories. I think that the BAFTA nomination confirmed that the Globe nod wasn't a fluke, and that this industry will reward Christopher Plummer for replacing Kevin Spacey, and for a great performance in All the Money in the World. I also think that despite missing at BAFTA, that SAG nominee, and previous Oscar nominee Richard Jenkins will ride The Shape of Water wave and snag a slot.

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