Saturday, January 20, 2018

The Oscar Narrative: Final Nomination Predictions - Best Actor

Final Nomination Predictions
Timothee Chalamet "Call Me By Your Name"
Daniel Day-Lewis "Phantom Thread"
James Franco "The Disaster Artist"
Daniel Kaluuya "Get Out"
Gary Oldman "Darkest Hour"

Other Contenders - Denzel Washington "Roman J. Israel, Esq.", Tom Hanks "The Post", Jamie Bell "Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool"

Commentary - Chalamet, Oldman, and Kaluuya all got SAG, Globe, and BAFTA nominations, and I think they are locked and loaded. Daniel Day-Lewis missed out at SAG because not enough people had seen the film. His BAFTA nod shows that he has climbed his back to what seems like an inevitable final nomination. The last slot is tricky. A lot of folks are probably discounting Franco because of the allegations against him, but most of the ballots were already in before that news broke, and he had SAG and the Globe nomination to help him along the way. I think he is in, which could prove to be a huge problem, publicity-wise, for the Academy. But he also could have missed. Denzel has never gotten a BAFTA nomination, and he did get SAG and the Globe, which could spell a lot of support. He narrowly missed last year, and I think a lot of voters still looking to reward one of the greats.

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