Will Win - Audra McDonald "Lady Day at Emerson's Bar and Grill"
Could Win - Cherry Jones "The Glass Menagerie"
Commentary - It looks like this year's Best Actress in a Play race is boiling down between two actresses, who between both of them, have won seven Tony Awards. Cherry Jones is a veteran stage and screen actor, and according to reviews gives a stirring turn in The Glass Menagerie. But Audra McDonald is hot off her last Tony win, she gets to both prove her acting ability, and gets to sing, which has been her bread and butter on stage. I think that dynamic combo will lead to her sixth, yes sixth, Tony Award.