Will Win - Brad Pitt "World War Z"
Could Win - Vera Farmiga "The Conjuring", Jessica Chastain "Mama", Rose Byrne "Insidious 2"
Should Win - Vera Farmiga "The Conjuring"
Commentary - I personally think that Vera Farmiga is great in everything, and even though I don't particularly like horror films, The Conjuring was certainly a step above the norm within the genre. And while Mama was not that great, Jessica Chastain is a great talent. Both are dark horses here, but they are up against a juggernaut at the MTV Movie Awards. And while The Conjuring and Mama certainly have their following, World War Z was a huge blockbuster, and I think that the teenage girls who make up the largest voting bloc will go for the hunk, and the film that they prefer.