Will Win - Benedict Cumberbatch "Star Trek Into Darkness"
Should Win - Barkhad Abdi "Captain Phillips"
Could Win - Abdi, Donald Sutherland "The Hunger Games: Catching Fire"
Commentary - There is a good chance that The Hunger Games goes for a sweep, taking along Sutherland with it. That being said, I think that two other guys have a real shot. Barkhad Abdi is easily the best of the bunch, and while his stock is certainly on the rise after his well-deserved Oscar nomination. But I think that another rising star will finally get some stage time. Benedict Cumberbatch is one of the coolest guys working on television and in film today. His Sherlock is a huge hit, and after several high profile roles he is making an impact on American cinema. I think that in a relatively weak category, without a clear front runner, he will be a popular vote for the younger generation.
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