Will Win/Should Win - Alfonso Cuaron "Gravity"
Could Win - Steve McQueen "12 Years a Slave" or David O. Russell "American Hustle"
Commentary - If and when Alfonso Cuaron wins his Oscar for Gravity, it will be one of the most deserving winners in recent years. What Cuaron did in Gravity is nothing short of amazing. He has an incredible vision, has pushed film forward in terms of technology, and honestly, if anyone else wins this award (even McQueen and Russell who I love) I will feel nothing but disappointment. So the question is: can anyone else win? Russell and McQueen are the clear alternatives, and if either of them pulls off the upset, then their films will most likely win Best Picture as well. But I honestly believe that no matter what happens in the close Best Picture race, that Cuaron is the favorite.