Will Win- Bill Murray "Olive Kitteridge"
Could Win - Finn Wittrock "American Horror Story: Freak Show", Richard Cabral "American Crime", Damien Lewis "Wolf Hall"
Should Win - Finn Wittrock "American Horror Story: Freak Show"
Commentary - If voters took the time to really examine the work of these six men, then Finn Wittrock would easily come out on top for his role as Dandy in Freak Show this year. He was remarkable, and is a rising star with a lot of potential. They would also consider Richard Cabral, a surprise nominee, for his stunning work in American Crime. Alas though, I think that popularity and legacy will rule the day. Emmy winner Damien Lewis is a real potential for Wolf Hall, a popular British period piece that did quite well across the nominations. But in the end, this is Bill Murray's to lose. His work in Olive Kitteridge was okay, but he was barely in it, and compared to some of the other supporting actors like John Gallagher Jr. and Corey Michael Smith, he really didn't make too much of an impact. But he is Bill Murray, the legend, and as the voting process becomes more populist, more populist winners will begin to win over those episode-based upsets. Plus, while they love them some American Horror Story, this year being no exception, Olive Kitteridge is set to be a major Emmy winner in several big categories, and that only helps Murray's chances.