Could Win - Queen Latifah "Bessie", Jessica Lange "American Horror Story: Freak Show", or Maggie Gyllenhaal "The Honorable Woman"
Should Win - Frances McDormand "Olive Kitteridge"
Commentary - This race is freaking brutal. These six women, between them have 4 Oscars out of 17 nominations, and 4 Emmys out of 21 Nominations. They are six of the best actresses working today, and each of their performances is just jaw-dropping good. I do not envy Emmy voters having to make a choice here. And yet, I feel like Frances McDormand is easily the front runner here. She is not a grand-slam lock, although she should be. But her work in Olive Kitteridge was just so damn good, and the series as a whole is an Emmy favorite in so many top categories, I feel like she is going to pull it off. But Queen Latifah is fantastic in Bessie, the front runner in the TV Movie category (where she is a nominee, so even if she loses here, she will probably still win an Emmy, which is awesome). Jessica Lange managed to beat Cicely Tyson last year, has won two Emmys for AHS, and this is her final season. As I type this, I wonder if I have yet again managed to miss the fact that she is probably going to win. And don't forget Golden Globe winner Maggie Gyllenhaal is exquisite in The Honorable Woman, Felicity Huffman a revelation in American Crime, and Emma Thompson is Emma-freakin-Thompson. Good luck Emmy voters!