Will Win - Sarah Paulson "American Horror Story: Freak Show"
Could Win - Mo'Nique "Bessie", Kathy Bates "American Horror Story: Freak Show", or Regina King "American Crime"
Should Win - Sarah Paulson "American Horror Story: Freak Show"
Commentary - The fact that Sarah Paulson has yet to win an Emmy for American Horror Story is simply a crime, especially since she keeps getting nominated. This year, she has a knockout role playing conjoined twins, a role that was built to finally get her that elusive Emmy. And this year, I think she can pull it off. She has built enough of a reputation, and is now essentially overdue, and honestly, it is the most complex of the bunch, and she nails it. But she is still not a lock, although to be fair, there are so few in these Emmy races. Monique has been rather quiet since her Oscar win for Precious. There has been a lot of speculation that because she refused to play the Hollywood game, it has kept her from roles. I hope that isn't true (although it probably is unfortunately), and I hope that she keeps getting great roles, because her role in Bessie was fantastic, and she knocked it out of the park. She was magnetic on screen, and reminded us what an incredible artist and actor she really is. She is a real potential here, and the Oscar on her mantle does not hurt her in her cause. Kathy Bates, after years of being ignored, has won two quick Emmys in recent years, and it makes me wonder if I am once again underestimating her. She had nowhere near the same impact as Paulson, but she is a the reigning champ here, and a beloved veteran .Finally, while I don't think she can really pull it off, I think we would all be wise to watch out for Regina King. She has been a hard-working veteran on television and in film for years. She was remarkable in Southland, and yet was criminally ignored. But she finally gets a well-deserved nod for her work in American Crime. The role was fantastic, she was fantastic, she is certainly overdue for some recognition, and the show did better than expected in terms of nominations. I think she is in a solid fourth place, but we have seen much less deserving, and more shocking winners in recent years, so she should not be discounted.