Commentary - A lot of great writers are competing for five measly spots, so this will be an interesting race to watch. Right now I am going with more traditional picks, but as always, something may come out of nowhere and become a contender. My top choice for the moment is Alexander Payne's latest The Descendants, because his last major awards contender Sideways took home the prize. I am also intrested in Cameron Crowe's latest We Bought a Zoo, as he too is a previous winner, with a buzzed project. I am also going with One Day because Lone's last film An Education managed not only a Best Picture nod, but a screenplay nod, and early word is very good for the film. My last two slots are going to films that seem to be getting a lot of attention, A Dangerous Method and The Ides of March. If I had to guess which one has a greater shot at sticking around it would be Clooney's lastest, as the Academy loves him and hell, he makes damn good movies.