Thursday, April 7, 2011

State of the Race: First Predictions - Best Original Screenplay

Mike Mills "Beginners"
Dustin Lance Black "J. Edgar"
Woody Allen "Midnight in Paris"
Terrence Malick "The Tree of Life"
Diablo Cody "Young Adult"

Other Possibilites - Win Win, The Iron Lady, Shame, Contagion, Take This Waltz, Larry Crowne, Meek's Cutoff, Haywire, Higher Ground

Commentary - There are some serious contenders this year for original screenplay, including many previous winners and nominees. Diablo Cody and Jason Reitman are pairing up again, a duo that won her her first Academy Award, for the highly buzzed Young Adult. If it is as half as good as Juno, it will definitely be a top contender for this prize. Terrence Malick returns again as writer/director, and the long-awaited Tree of Life could be a real threat. Dustin Lance Black also comes hot off of his Milk win, with another biopic, which has a great cast and director. If he brings the same passiona and intelligence to J.Edgar, he could be a winner again. I am also going with a quirkier, smaller choice in Beginners, as the Academy is not afraid to do the same, aka Another Year, in this category. This means that a film like Win Win could also be in contention. Finally, I picked an obvious choice in Woody Allen. If it is good Woody Allen he's in. If not...well I think you know the answer to that one.

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