Wednesday, July 25, 2018

The Oscar Narrative: July Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

July Nomination Predictions
Timothee Chalamet "Beautiful Boy"
Russell Crowe "Boy Erased"
Michael B. Jordan "Black Panther"
Daniel Kaluuya "Widows"
Sam Rockwell "Backseat"

Other Contenders - Steve Carell "Backseat", Colin Farrell "Widows", Richard E. Grant "Can You Ever Forgive Me?", Joel Edgerton"Boy Erased", Adam Driver "BlacKKKLansman", Topher Grace "BlacKKKlansman", Armie Hammer "On the Basis of Sex", Sam Elliott "A Star is Born", Kyle Chandler "First Man", Corey Stoll "First Man", J.K. Simmons "The Front Runner", Peter Bogdanovich "The Other Side of the Wind", Lin-Manuel Miranda "Mary Poppins", Jake Gyllenhaal "Wildlife", Nicholas Hoult "The Favourite", Al Pacino "The Irishman", Joe Pesci "The Irishman"

Commentary - So The Irishman looks like it is now going to be in 2019, leaving two huge holes in this race without Al Pacino and Joe Pesci. I think Timothee Chalamet has got to be an early front runner. He is so beloved after his Call Me By Your Name role, and we often see actors win on their second try after missing the first. Last year's winner in this category could return to try to stop him though, as Sam Rockwell play President Bush feels like awards gold. After seeing the trailer for Boy Erased, I think both Kidman and Crowe are in positions to clean up in awards season, playing the parents who send their son to gay conversion therapy. Last year's Best Actor nominee is one of the many names involved in Steve McQueen's Widows, but he is so hot from his Get Out love last year, I think he is easily leading his co-workers (although we will find out soon). Finally, I think Black Panther is staying in this conversation. As the onslaught of new fall contenders hits in a few weeks, the conversation may change. But for now, people are still talking about Black Panther, and Michael B. Jordan's performance is one of the main points of conversation. He is well overdue for some recognition, and is magnificent in the role. Beyond those five, I would look out for Steve Carell as Donald Rumsfeld, Colin Farrell, Joel Edgerton in a potential triple threat, Adam Driver and Topher Grace, Kyle Chandler and Corey Stoll, Richard Grant, J.K. Simmons, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Jake Gyllenhaal, and Peter Bogdonavich.

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