Will Win - Allison Janney "Mom"
Should Win - Anna Chlumsky "Veep" or Allison Janney "Mom"
Could Win - Anna Chlumsky "Veep" or Julie Bowen "Modern Family"
Commentary - I watched Mom every week, and there was literally not one episode that wasn't a good Emmy submission. She just knocked it out of the park every single week. I think she wins another Emmy. Her episode is fantastic, and she has the popularity with these voters, in case the expanded voting leads to more populist results. But watch out for Anna Chlumsky. Veep is on the rise, and is in the lead to win Best Comedy Series, and Chlumsky's character has transformed this year. We see her slowly building to the point of exploding, and that scene where she lays into Selina Meyer is classic, and brilliant. But I don't know if she has the power to overcome the Allison Janney train. Her show's popularity, versus the lack thereof for Mom, could be the factor that puts her over the top. Finally, I think Julie Bowen is a threat. Modern Family's buzz is dead, but she has won here twice, is really popular, and has a killer episode. As for the other ladies: Gaby Hoffman is better in her Girls tape than here, Niecy Nash is too understated and Getting On is such a small show, Jane Krakowski could get the one they owe her from 30 Rock, but there is not enough heat on her nod, Kate McKinnon faces the same problem supporting SNL stars have for years, and Mayin Bialik should just be happy for the nomination.