Will Win - Julia Louis-Dreyfus "Veep"
Could Win - Amy Schumer "Inside Amy Schumer" or Amy Poehler "Parks & Recreation"
Should Win - Amy Poehler "Parks & Recreation" or Lisa Kudrow "The Comeback"
Commentary - Since we are still not sure whether tapes or popularity matters most (the guest categories were a mess last night, and seemed to be based more on popularity, but Whitford and Cusack had good submissions, so that's not a hundred percent). There are three women that I think can either win based on popularity or the episodes. My personal favorite was Lisa Kudrow, whose Valerie Cherish is just one of the best television characters of the last decade. But she didn't submit her best episode, and The Comeback simply did not have enough people watching it this season. Edie Falco could inspire some support, as it was Nurse Jackie's last season, but there is too much competition this year. And if Grace and Frankie had gotten more support across the board, I would put Lily Tomlin higher. But, like I said, I think this is a three-way race. While everyone is talking about Jon Hamm's overdue factor, they are ignoring the fact that Amy Poehler is even more overdue for an Emmy. She once again has a great episode, Parks & Recreation got back into Comedy Series this year (a really nice surprise), and like Hamm, she has never won an Emmy Award. She should win, she should take that stage, and as iconic as Don Draper is, Leslie Knope is right up there. But alas, I think she ends her brilliant run on that brilliant show with zero Emmy awards. Amy Schumer is the real dark horse here. She could easily pull a Melissa McCarthy. She is the upstart comedian, with the hit summer blockbuster, and a clearly a lot of support from these voters (her show jumped from one nomination to six). But Julia Louis-Dreyfus is a television legend, Veep is one of the front runners for the Best Comedy Series prize, and she has yet to lose this award. I love JLD, but I would not be upset to see one of these other folks take the prize. I'm just not brave enough, or stupid enough, to predict anybody else.