Will Win - Jon Hamm "Mad Men"
Could Win - Kyle Chandler "Bloodline", Bob Odenkirk "Better Call Saul", Kevin Spacey "House of Cards", or Jeff Daniels "The Newsroom"
Should Win - Jon Hamm "Mad Men"
Commentary - Kyle Chandler is fantastic on Bloodline, has surprised here before, and has a great episode. But Bloodline really didn't hit the mark this year, despite many predicting it to do so, and episodes are clearly not as important this year. But his personal popularity keeps him in the running. Kevin Spacey has been waiting patiently for an Emmy while the Bryan Cranston show was going on the last two years. While House of Cards might have slipped overall, the actor still clearly love it, and Reg E. Cathey has already won. Bob Odenkirk won the Critics Choice, and has a killer episode. Better Call Saul got better with age, and while many doubt its Emmy chances, it was clearly well-liked among voters. Plus Odenkirk is a well-liked veteran, who could benefit from lingering Breaking Bad love. Finally, if episodes are still being watched, watch out for Jeff Daniels, who, despite zero love for The Newsroom, is a well-liked actor and has already won once for this role. But this is the year of Jon Hamm. There is no guarantee, of course, but with the popular vote playing a bigger role, and with a dominating narrative, I think that Jon Hamm can finally win his first Emmy Award. This whole Emmy season has been dominated by the narrative that Jon Hamm has never won an Emmy for playing Don Draper. Celebrities are going to bat for him, the campaigns have driven that into voters' heads. He has never won an Emmy, neither have any of his co-workers, so the decks are stacked against him. But no one deserves this more, no one has more buzz, and the time has certainly come.