Wednesday, October 10, 2012

State of the Race: October Oscar Predictions - Best Actor

October Predictions
Daniel Day-Lewis "Lincoln"
John Hawkes "The Sessions"
Anthony Hopkins "Hitchcock"
Joaquin Phoenix "The Master"
Denzel Washington "Flight"

Other Contenders - Hugh Jackman "Les Miserables", Bradley Cooper "Silver Linings Playbook", Richard Gere "Arbitrage", Bill Murray "Hyde Park on Hudson", Matt Damon "Promised Land", Ben Affleck "Argo", Suraj Sharma "Life of Pi", Jean-Louis Trintignant "Amour", Jamie Foxx "Django Unchained", Tommy Lee Jones "Hope Springs", Logan Lerman "The Perks of Being a Wallflower", Martin Freeman "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey", Jack Black "Bernie", Liam Neeson "The Grey", Brad Pitt "Killing Them Softly"
Commentary - So poor Hugh Jackman, he seems to be that sixth slot that fits in when its convienent and is left out when its not. I still think he could easily get a nod, and his role is baity, there is just so much competition at the moment, considering the five guys ahead of him are all either previous Oscar winners (three of them) or nominees (two of them). So while he is left on the outside, along with Bradley Cooper for his career best performance, Richard Gere, Bill Murray, Matt Damon, Jamie Foxx, Jean-Louis Trintignant, and others, it does not mean that they are not still in this race. At the moment, the four that seem to be in the lead have remained. John Hawkes and Joaquin Phoenix are definitely contenders with their praised performances, and I still think Flight will be good (we'll know soon enough) so Denzel remains in the top five. We now know from an advanced screening that Daniel Day-Lewis is great in Lincoln, and continues to remain the one to beat. But I think that if anyone can it will be previous winner Sir Anthony Hopkins playing yet another infamous historical figure, Alfred Hitchcock. I like the new trailer (which I will post later this evening), and I think it could be a nice combination of humor, terror, and behind the scenes of one of cinema's greatest masterpieces. Unless it ends up like My Week With Marilyn (which still managed two acting nods), it has all the makings of great Academy bait.

1 comment:

  1. I still have faith in Hugh Jackman, because I think if I know the Academy well enough, which I do, they will probably have a big snub come nomination night and Jackman will slide right in.