The Oscar Narrative: First 2022 Oscar Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

First Nomination Predictions

Bradley Cooper "Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson" 

Idris Elba "The Harder They Fall" 

Corey Hawkins "The Tragedy of Macbeth" 

Richard Jenkins "The Humans"

John David Washington "Untitled David O. Russell" 

Other Contenders - Mark Rylance "Don't Look Up", Jonah Hill "Don't Look Up", Tyler Perry "Don't Look Up", J.K. Simmons "Being the Ricardos", Jesse Plemmons "The Power of the Dog", Bradley Whitford "Tick, Tick...Boom!", Steven Yeun "The Humans", Brendan Gleeson "The Tragedy of Macbeth", Willem Dafoe "Nightmare Alley", Richard Jenkins "Nightmare Alley", David Strathairn "Nightmare Alley", Michael Shannon "Untitled David O. Russell", Robert DeNiro "Untitled David O. Russell", Rami Malek "Untitled David O. Russell", Adam Driver "The Last Duel", Ben Affleck "The Last Duel", Ben Affleck "The Tender Bar", Jared Leto "House of Gucci", Al Pacino "House of Gucci", Benicio Del Toro "The French Dispatch", Lakeith Stanfield "The Harder They Fall", Delroy Lindo "The Harder They Fall", Jason Isaacs "Mass", Jamie Dornan "Belfast", Ciaran Hinds "Belfast", Colman Domingo "Zola", David Alvarez "West Side Story", Colin Firth "Mothering Sunday", Josh O'Connor "Mothering Sunday", Kaimana "Next Goal Wins", Simon Helberg "Annette", Kelvin Harrison Jr. "Cyrano", Benedict Wong "Nine Days", Oscar Isaac "Dune", Reed Birney "Mass", Billy Porter "Cinderella"

Commentary - So many big names in this race, hopefully the fall festivals start to sort out some of these contenders. John David Washington should have been nominated for BlacKkKlansman, and just continues to build a worthy profile. Teaming up with David O. Russell could finally get him a nomination. Corey Hawkins has also been on the rise lately, and if he can hold his own up against Denzel Washington and Frances McDormand, I could see voters wanting to reward this rising star. Richard Jenkins has had several nominations now, and his role in the adaptation of The Humans could be his first win. Idris Elba is still waiting on Oscar love, but I will say, The Harder They Fall looks awesome, but does it look Oscar? I am going with yes. Finally, Bradley Cooper could return for Paul Thomas Anderson's latest. He has been such an awards magnet lately, I think voters are still on the Cooper train. Beyond those five, there are plenty of big names. Washington has several co-stars including previous winners Rami Malek and Robert DeNiro, and previous nominee Michael Shannon, who could join him, or take his spot. Adam McKay's latest Don't Look Up has a bunch of big names including Jonah Hill, Tyler Perry, and Mark Rylance. Nightmare Alley, Guillermo Del Toro's first film since his Oscar win has names like Willem Dafoe, Richard Jenkins, and David Strathairn. These large casts could take a lot of slots. There are plenty of previous winners and nominees that could return including, J.K. Simmons, Steven Yeun, Adam Driver, Ben Affleck, Jared Leto, Al Pacino, Benicio Del Toro, Lakeith Stanfield, and Colin Firth. Lots of veterans who have yet to make the cut are hoping their fortunes finally turn for the better including Brendan Gleeson, Ciaran Hinds, Jason Isaacs, Delroy Lindo, Bradley Whitford, Billy Porter, Jamie Dornan, Reed Birney, Colman Domingo, Benedict Wong, and Oscar Issac. Finally look out for newcomers Kaimana, David Alvarez, and recent Emmy nominee Josh O'Connor.