Final Nomination Predictions
Spike Lee "BlacKkKlansman"
Yorgos Lanthimos "The Favourite"
Alfonso Cuaron "Roma"
Bradley Cooper "A Star is Born"
Adam McKay "Vice"
Other Contenders - Peter Farrelly "Green Book", Pawil Pawlikowski "Cold War", Barry Jenkins "If Beale Street Could Talk", Ryan Coogler "Black Panther", Damien Chazelle "First Man", Debra Granik "Leave No Trace"
Commentary - So I think Lee, Cuaron, and Cooper are ready to go with DGA and BAFTA under their belt. Adam McKay also has that combination, and I think he will also get a nomination. A lot of folks think he will miss. Maybe he will, as Vice does seem to be divisive. Although, so far, that divisiveness has not stopped it from doing well at these industry awards. Most folks think that the last slot is probably between Peter Farrelly, Yorgos Lanthimos, and Pawil Pawlikowski. I think that Green Book's PGA win is damning, but I also know that this group of voters is unique. They are the ones that snubbed Martin McDonagh last year in favor of their esoteric favorite Paul Thomas Anderson. I think that this particular group of directors might snub Farrelly, as Green Book really is not a directorial achievement. Instead I am going for Lanthimos, because I think that The Favourite is strong across the board. But I would not be surprised to see Pawlikowski steal a slot like he did at BAFTA. Cold War is just the type of film that directors love to surprise us with. Plus, after Foxcatcher, the expanded Best Picture race doesn't mean that all five directors correspond to Best Picture nominations. Finally, watch out for Coogler, Jenkins, and with this group, I think we still need to consider the strong directorial works of Damien Chazelle and Debra Granik. You never know.
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