Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Will Win - Daveed Diggs "Hamilton"
Could Win - Any of the other four
Commentary - Consensus is building around Diggs, as the standout of the Hamilton bunch, but this looks like a close race where any of the Hamilton guys could prevail, or they could cancel each other out leading to a Dixon or Fitzgerald victory. Just as the Fun Home girls.
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Will Win - Renee Elise Goldsberry "Hamilton"
Could Win - Danielle Brooks "The Color Purple" or Jane Krakowski "She Loves Me"
Commentary - Have I mentioned yet that Hamilton is probably going to sweep the Tonys this year? It looks like the sweep will include Goldsberry along for the ride, although previous winner Krakowski or Danielle Brooks in her Broadway debut keep the race interesting.
Best Featured Actor in a Play
Will Win - Reed Birney "The Humans"
Could Win - Michael Shannon "Long Day's Journey Into Night"
Commentary - This is tight race between two acting veterans. Shannon is the most recognizable of the two, an Oscar nominee, and a movie star. But Birney is a Broadway veteran, with a previous nomination, and has the momentum of the two.
Best Featured Actress in a Play
Will Win - Jayne Houdyshell "The Humans"
Could Win - Saycon Sengbloh "Eclipsed" or Megan Hilty "Noises Off"
Commentary - Megan Hilty finally gets a Tony nomination (for a play of all things!), and Saycon Sengbloh is also a first-time nominee, both of whom have had successful stage careers so far. But veteran Jayne Houdyshell, who earned her third nomination this year, is getting rave reviews, and looks to be a hard one to beat.