Best Variety Series - Talk
Full Frontal with Samantha Bee
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert
Real Time With Bill Maher
The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon
Other Contenders - The Late Late Show With James Corden, The Daily Show with Trevor Noah, Conan, Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee, Late Night with Seth Meyers, The Nightly Show with Larry Willmore, @midnight with Chris Hardwick
Commentary - Stephen Colbert may return not here, but he is really relying on his former popularity. After dominating the Emmys for so long, I don't think that The Daily Show will return, as it has simply not lived up to the John Stewart years so far. That leaves Jimmy Kimmel, Jimmy Fallon, and John Oliver from last year (Date Letterman is replaced by Colbert). Real Time could return with such strong election season coverage, and probably missed out because of the sentimentality of Letterman. Then there is one slot left. I am leaning toward Full Frontal with Samantha Bee, because it is easily the best of the bunch. But James Corden's popularity, The Daily Show's dominance, and Conan are possibilities that cannot be ignored.
Best Variety Series - Sketch
Inside Amy Schumer
Key & Peele
Saturday Night Live
Other Contenders - Drunk History, Comedy Bang Bang, Tosh.0, Billy On the Street, The Half Hour, Who's Line is it Anyway?, Netflix Presents: The Characters
Commentary - Inside Amy Schumer, SNL, Key & Peele, and Portlandia feel like safe returns. Drunk History was basically a space filler here, so I am going with the star power of Bill Hader and Fred Armisen for Documentary Now! to take the last slot.