2016 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie

2016 Nomination Predictions
Kathy Bates "American Horror Story: Hotel"
Regina King "American Crime"
Melissa Leo "All the Way"
Sarah Paulson "American Horror Story: Hotel"
Anika Noni Rose "Roots"
Jean Smart "Fargo"

Other Contenders - Connie Britton "The People Vs. O.J. Simpson", Angela Bassett "American Horror Story: Hotel", Olivia Colman "The Night Manager", Emayatzy Corinealdi "Roots", Catherine Keener "Show Me a Hero", Jennifer Hudson "Confirmation", Cherry Jones "11.22.63", LaTanya Richardson-Jackson "Show Me a Hero", Winona Ryder "Show Me a Hero", Charlotte Rampling "London Spy", Anna Paquin "Roots", Uzo Aduba "The Wiz Live!", Queen Latifah "The Wiz Live!", Mary J. Blige "The Wiz Live!", Amber Riley "The Wiz Live!", Stephanie Mills "The Wiz Live!", Anna Camp "Saints and Strangers", Gillian Anderson "War and Peace", Cristin Milioti "Fargo", Emily Watson "The Dresser", Zoe Lister-Jones "Confirmation", Kristin Chenoweth "Descendants", Elizabeth Debicki "The Night Manager", Andrea Martin "Act One", Mary Lynn Rajskub "The Girlfriend Experience", Kelly Reilly "True Detective", Allison Tolman "Mad Dogs", Mare Winningham "American Horror Story: Hotel"

Commentary - This category is one to watch for come final list time, because I could go back and forth between now and July 14th. First, this category could tell us whether Emmy voters are still on the American Horror Story train, or whether the wealth of competitors has finally overshadowed the show that has long since hit is creative peak. I still think that Paulson and Bates are in, and while I'm not currently predicting Bassett, she has not yet missed out on a nod. Melissa Leo seems like a shoo-in, but All the Way was not as strong as I expected (although it could still win that TV Movie slot based on reputation and HBO behind it). Jean Smart and Regina King feel like the only two safe slots, and it feels like the Emmy comes down between these two Emmy winners in great roles. Finally, Roots is going to do well, but between Corinealdi and Rose, I choose the better known of the two, hoping both get a second look.The trio from Show Me a Hero should be looked at, but unfortunately I don't see much buzz for that incredible miniseries. Cherry Jones and Connie Britton are recent Emmy favorites in big roles. Charlotte Rampling is fresh off of her Oscar nomination in the awesome London Spy, and Brits Emily Watson and Olivia Colman have great roles. Jennifer Hudson is beloved, Gillian Anderson a television favorite, as is Anna Paquin. This will be a great category no matter who gets nominated.