Jessie Buckley "Hamnet"
Rose Byrne "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You"
Cynthia Erivo "Wicked: For Good"
Chase Infinity "One Battle After Another"
Renate Reinsve "Sentimental Value"
Other Contenders - Emma Stone "Bugonia", Jennifer Lawrence "Die My Love", Amanda Seyfried "The Testament of Ann Lee", Tessa Thompson "Hedda", Kate Hudson "Song Sung Blue", Julia Garner "Weapons", Laura Dern "Is This Thing On?", Sydney Sweeney "Christy", Julia Roberts "After the Hunt", Jodie Foster "Vie Privee", June Squibb "Eleanor the Great", Emma Mackey "Ella McKay", Dakota Johnson "Materialists", Eva Victor "Sorry, Baby", Cate Blanchett "Father, Mother, Sister, Brother"
Commentary - An interesting race, with a lot of contenders competing for films that may not be Oscar contenders across the board. First, the obvious ones. Jessie Buckley and Renate Reinsve have done well so far with critics, and I expect both of their films to compete across the categories this season. Cynthia Erivo is going to have a huge stand out performance if the musical is any indication. We'll have to see how For Good plays, but I have a feeling she is in the race. Chase Infinity decided to step up to lead, and in this year, it might be a great move. I think she is in. Finally, the buzz for Rose Byrne is high, but that film needs to get some traction in the critics awards. On the outside of the five are Oscar winners Emma Stone and Jennifer Lawrence, who are both in challenging films that might not connect with voters. Amanda Seyfried's The Testament of Ann Lee is an interesting vehicle, previous nominee Kate Hudson is an unknown for Song Sung Blue, Julia Garner is a test of the power of Weapons, and Laura Dern could get back in for Is This Thing On? Tessa Thompson and Julia Roberts are great in films with mixed reactions, Jodie Foster and June Squibb are legends, Sydney Sweeney got great reviews, and don't discount Dakota Johnson, Eva Victor, and the legendary Cate Blanchet.
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