Miles Caton "Sinners"
Paul Mescal "Hamnet"
Sean Penn "One Battle After Another"
Adam Sandler "Jay Kelly"
Stellan Skarsgard "Sentimental Value"
Other Contenders - Idris Elba "A House of Dynamite", William H. Macy "Train Dreams", Andrew Scott "Blue Moon", Benicio Del Toro "One Battle After Another", Jacob Elrodi "Frankenstein", Jeremy Strong "Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere", Delroy Lindo "Sinners", Josh O'Connor "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Story". Mark Hamill "The Life of Chuck", Diego Luna "Kiss of the Spider Woman", Jonathan Bailey "Wicked: For Good", Jacobi Jupe "Hamnet", Sean Bean "Anemone", Jack O'Connell "Sinners", Billy Crudup "Jay Kelly", Bradley Cooper "Is This Thing On?", Woody Harrelson "Ella McCay", Christoph Waltz "Frankenstein", Takehiro Hira "Rental Family", Akira Emoto "Rental Family"
Commentary - The most wide open of the acting races in my opinion, with probably 20 contenders for I think two spots that are completely up in the air. Three spots seemed locked: Paul Mescal, Stellan Skarsgaard, and Sean Penn, who are all in big Best Picture contenders, and their performances received nothing short of raves. All are also well-known veterans with a lot of support from the industry. The last two slots? Who knows? I am keeping Miles Caton for Sinners, because I am sure that a huge awards push will put it back in the spotlight. Although his slot could go to his co-star Delroy Lindo instead. I am also, for now, keeping Adam Sandler, who might be the last man standing for Jay Kelly in terms of its Oscar hopes. This concerns me, and I feel like he is just a holdover placeholder until some of the critics awards star rolling in in less than two months. Right on the outside are a plethora of previous nominees and winners like William H. Macy (has Hollywood forgiven him for the scandal), Benicio Del Toro (would be a fun nomination), Jeremy Strong (will the industry save him like they did last year for The Apprentice?), Bradley Cooper, Woody Harrelson, and Christoph Waltz. There are also a bunch of fantastic veterans hoping to breakthrough like Andrew Scott, Idris Elba, Diego Luna, Mark Hamill, Jonathan Bailey (SAG nominee last year), Jacob Elrodi, Sean Bean, Jack O'Connell, and Billy Crudup. Finally, Rental Family got mixed reviews but Hira and Emoto could still be in play, and watch out for the next child star Jacobi Jupe who I hear is a scene-stealer in Hamnet.
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