The Oscar Narrative: Post Venice/Toronto/Telluride Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

Post Venice/Toronto/Telluride Nomination Predictions

Brendan Gleeson "The Banshees of Inisherin"

Judd Hirsch "The Fabelmans"

Brad Pitt "Babylon"

Ke Huy Quan "Everything Everywhere All at Once"

Ben Whishaw "Women Talking"

Other Contenders - Barry Keoghan "The Banshees of Inisherin", Paul Dano "The Fabelmans", Jeremy Strong "Armageddon Time", Woody Harrelson "Triangle of Sadness", Anthony Hopkins "Armageddon Time", Eddie Redmayne "The Good Nurse", John Boyega "The Woman King", Toby Jones "Empire of Light", Edward Norton "Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story", Don Cheadle "White Noise", Tom Hanks "Elvis", Seth Rogen "The Fabelmans", Brian Tyree Henry "Causeway", Zen McGrath "The Son", Anthony Hopkins "The Son", Andre Braugher "She Said", Colin Farrell "Thirteen Lives", Colin Firth "Empire of Light", Michael Stuhlbarg "Bones & All", Pedro Pascal "The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent", Stanley Tucci "I Wanna Dance With Somebody", Tom Pelphrey "She Said", Tobey Maguire "Babylon", Steven Yeun "Nope"

Commentary - Brendan Gleeson and Judd Hirsch emerged from the fall festivals, as their films become big Best Picture contenders. The Oscar could come down to those beloved veterans. Brad Pitt, for now remains in the top five, but two things could risk his nod, the film and his personal press. Ben Whishaw is apparently a standout, and the only major male character in Women Talking. Ke Huy Quan remains strong as long as Everything Everywhere All at Once continues its buzz. Beyond those five, there are a lot of names. Jeremy Strong is getting a lot of attention for his role in Armageddon Time, Woody Harrelson is a scene-stealer in Triangle of Sadness, and Barry Keoghan or Paul Dano could join their co-stars. Previous nominees and winners like Eddie Redmayne, Edward Norton, Anthony Hopkins, Stanley Tucci, Steven Yeun, Colin Firth, Don Cheadle, and Tom Hanks all have potential. A mixture of veterans and newcomers like John Boyega, Brian Tyree Henry, Tobey Maguire, Pedro Pascal, Toby Jones, Seth Rogen, Zen McGrath, Andre Braugher, Colin Farrell, and Michael Stuhlbarg are all looking for their first nomination.