2015 Nomination Predictions
Fred Armisen "Portlandia"
Andre Braugher "Brooklyn Nine-Nine"
Tituss Burgess "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt"
Ty Burrell "Modern Family"
Jesse Tyler Ferguson "Modern Family"
Tony Hale "Veep"
Other Contenders - T.J. Miller "Silicon Valley", Hugh Laurie "Veep", Adam Driver "Girls", Eric Stonestreet "Modern Family", Ed O'Neill "Modern Family",Josh Gad "The Comedians", Martin Sheen "Grace and Frankie", Sam Waterston "Grace and Frankie", Beau Bridges "The Millers", Laurence Fishburne "black-ish", Gary Cole "Veep", Matt Walsh "Veep", Timothy Simons "Veep", Reid Scott "Veep", Kevin Dunn "Veep", Patton Oswalt "Veep", Cameron Monaghan "Shameless", Jeremy Allen White "Shameless", Chris Pratt "Parks and Recreation", Nick Offerman "Parks & Recreation", Aziz Ansari "Parks & Recreation", Jim O'Heir "Parks and Recreation", Randall Park "Fresh Off the Boat", Keegan Michael Key "Key and Peele", Jordan Peele "Key and Peele", Bradley Whitford "HAPPYish", Simon Helberg "The Big Bang Theory", Kunal Nayyar "The Big Bang Theory", Chris Colfer "Glee", Terry Crews "Brooklyn Nine-Nine", Jo Lo Truglio "Brooklyn Nine-Nine", Taran Killam "Saturday Night Live", Bobby Moynihan "Saturday Night Live", Kenan Thompson "Saturday Night Live", Jay Pharoah "Saturday Night Live", Pete Davidson "Saturday Night Live", Colin Jost "Saturday Night Live", Michael Che "Saturday Night Live", Beck Bennet "Saturday Night Live", Kyle Mooney "Saturday Night Live", Zach Woods "Silicon Valley", Andrew Rannells "Girls", Alex Karpovsky "Girls", Peter Scolari "Girls", Mark Duplass "Togetherness", Peter Gallagher "Togetherness", Steve Zissis "Togetherness", Eric Andre "Man Seeking Woman", Jaime Camil "Jane the Virgin", Brett Dier "Jane the Virgin", Justin Baldoni "Jane the Virgin", Ike Barinholtz "The Mindy Project", Ed Weeks "The Mindy Project", Adam Pally "The Mindy Project", Desmin Borges "You're the Worst", Jay Duplass "Transparent", Roy Huebel "Transparent", Lamorne Morris "New Girl", Damon Wayans Jr. "New Girl", Mel Rodriguez "Getting On", Paul Reiser "Married"
Commentary - Okay, this one may take a while, there are a lot, (A LOT!) of potential contenders. Let's start with the outside contenders. T.J. Miller is a real threat after winning the CCTA, and I think that Silicon Valley's Emmy stock is going to rise tremendously this year. Hugh Laurie had a great showing on Veep, and is an Emmy favorite, Adam Driver is a recent nominee and now a big movie star, Josh Gad could get in if Emmy voters liked The Comedians better than critics, the other two Modern Family guys (Stonestreet and O'Neill) should not be discounted, and neither should the two veterans (Sheen and Waterston) from Grace and Frankie, despite middling reviews for the show. There are also a ton of contenders within each cast of shows such as: Parks & Recreation (Pratt being the obvious leader there with his sudden movie fame), Veep, Shameless, HAPPYish, Glee, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Saturday Night Live, Girls, and the dynamic duo of Key and Peele. But alas, I don't think any of these guys are going to break through into the top six. Ty Burrell, like Julie Bowen, will continue to be nominated here, until voters are ready to move on from Modern Family altogether. And past winner Tony Hale, who had a great season, and one particularly fantastic episode submission, seems like a safe bet for return. Andre Braugher deserves a nod for Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and despite the fact that the show will probably be criminally ignored again, he is always a safe bet for Emmy voters, who literally will nominate him for anything. Jesse Tyler Ferguson is one of those guys that every year people predict him not to get in, and he keeps getting in. They clearly love Mitchell the character and this actor, and while this year is probably his most vulnerable (natural reaction to an aging show), I would be dumb not to predict him again. The only new contender I see breaking through is the magnificent Tituss Burgess in Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. He is such a scene-stealer, and his nomination should be a shoo-in, of course a lot of it depends on how the show does overall. Finally, after shocking all of us with a nod last year, I am not going to be fooled again this year. Portlandia is clearly on the rise, and Fred Armisen is a beloved veteran comedian. That nomination was a shocker last year, but this year, I think he makes the cut. But still, there is T.J. Miller lurking in the wings (and Hugh Laurie for that matter), and if they make it, I honestly don't know who gets left out.