Best Revival of a Musical
Will Win - The King and I
Could Win - On the Twentieth Century
Commentary - On the Twentieth has some great reviews, and could win a few Tonys, but none of these three nominees are as well-represented across the board as The King and I. It has and incredible amount of representation across the categories, is clearly beloved by the Broadway industry, and by the critics and fans. I think it wins relatively easily.
Best Revival of a Play
Will Win - The Elephant Man
Could Win - You Can't Take it With You or Skylight
Commentary - The Drama League went with You Can't Take it With You, the Outer Critics with Skylight, and the Drama Desk Awards with The Elephant Man. So this is a race where literally anything can happen. All have great reviews, top-notch casts, and precursor awards under her belt. But I think that The Elephant Man overall has the most buzz, the biggest star in Bradley Cooper (who will probably lose his award, but maybe a consolation prize), and won the most recent precursor suggesting that maybe it is peaking at the right time? I put a question mark there because it is a guessing game at best.