Will Win - An American in Paris
Could Win - Fun Home
Commentary - This reminds me of that Kinky Boots vs. Matilda year where no really knew what was going to happen. Fun Home has had a great run from a graphic novel, to Off-Broadway, to Broadway, and has received rave reviews. Of course so has An American in Paris, the musical adaptation of a Best Picture Oscar winner. In a close race, I favor the one that has racked up the most precursors, and will probably win the most awards out of the two, An American in Paris. But, make no mistake, this race is no over until the envelope is opened.
Will Win - The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Could Win - Wolf Hall Parts 1 and 2
Commentary - Unlike the Musical category, this one seems like a pretty easy pick. With the PBS series, and a lot of Emmy buzz following it, Wolf Hall is the potential spoiler. But The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time has the best reviews, the most precursors, and looks like at this point it is unbeatable.