Sunday, June 21, 2015

2015 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Best Variety Series - Sketch

We have done a countdown of the contenders in major categories, I have given you my personal favorites of the year, and now it is time to start prediction the nominations for the 2015 Emmys. Stay tuned over the next three weeks or so, and then of course for the final list the night before to see who I think will make the cut this year!!

2015 Nomination Predictions
Drunk History
Inside Amy Schumer
Key and Peele
Saturday Night Live
The Soup

Other Contenders - Comedy Bang Bang, Tosh.0, Kroll Show, Grace Helbig Show, Adam Devine's House Party, Friends of People, The Half Hour, Nathan For You, Tim and Eric's Bedtime Stories, This is Not Happening

Commentary - In its inaugural year, this category has a lot of question marks. First of all, I am glad to see the Emmy voters embracing sketch comedy as a serious format, and I am glad to see the Variety section reflect the trends of variety programs on television. Sketch comedy shows only got in Saturday Night Live year in and year out, while being dominated by the talk programs, so now some really awesome and worthy variety programs will finally get some Emmy recognition. Speaking of, Saturday Night Live is a sure thing for a nomination, and while its 40th year might have had its share of issues, it probably enters the race as the front runner simply because of its overall popularity and its nostalgia factor (and the aforementioned fact that it was the only one of these shows to breakthrough in the previously combined variety category). But there are two shows in particular that I think are its biggest competitors. The first is Portlandia, whose Emmy profile has risen in the last season or two. It got Fred Armisen in, and some writing nominations proving that it was on the brink of getting into the combined category. That makes it a lock for a nomination here, and if its profile continues to rise, it could be a strong contender for the win. The other lock, and the other show I think can challenge SNL is Inside Amy Schumer. There is a good chance that she snags a Best Actress in a Comedy Series nod, and the show, and Schumer herself are really on the rise. She has a new movie coming out right in the thick of voting, and as we know, voters pay attention to not just the show or the episodes, but the outside factors as well. Key and Peele feels like the final lock, as it, like Portlandia, made it into the writing category last year, showing that voters are starting to take a closer look at it. That leaves two slots that I honestly don't know where they are going to go. The Soup has been around for years, in different formats,  and with different hosts, so it might finally make the cut. But the last slot is a toss up. I am going with Drunk History. It has great guest stars, is funny as hell, and seems to have a strong following. If not it, then proBably Comedy Bang Bang or Tosh.0. But at this point who knows?

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