The Oscar Narrative: Post Telluride/Venice/Toronto Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actress

Post Telluride/Venice/Toronto Nomination Predictions

Emily Blunt "Oppenheimer"

Danielle Brooks "The Color Purple" 

America Ferrera "Barbie"

Taraji P. Henson "The Color Purple"

Da'Vine Joy Randolph "The Holdovers"

Other Contenders - Julianne Moore "May December", Viola Davis "Air", Cara Jade Myers "Killers of the Flower Moon", Jodie Foster "Nyad", Erika Alexander "American Fiction", Sandra Huller "The Zone of Interest", Penelope Cruz "Ferrari", Rosamund Pike "Saltburn", Niecy Nash-Betts "Origin", Lily James "The Iron Claw", Rhea Perlman "Barbie", Juliette Binoche "The Taste of Things", Vanessa Kirby "Napoleon", Issa Rae "American Fiction", Audra McDonald "Origin", Jodie Comer "The Bikeriders"

Commentary - Out of the festivals, a lot of consensus is building around Da'Vine Joy Randolph's role in The Holdovers as the early frontrunner. Emily Blunt, still, for some crazy reason, is still seeking her first Oscar nomination. As Oppenheimer continues to dominate the conversation, I think she might finally make the top five. America Ferrera's monologue in Barbie has become a cultural phenomenon. Plus, she is great in there rest of the film too. If the film continues to do well, I think she gets in. Finally, every trailer of The Color Purple looks like it is going to be an emotional, and visual spectacular. I really hope so, because the potential is through the roof. Julianne Moore is a safe bet for a of pundits right now, but I am concerned that May December will get lost in the mix. I could be totally wrong, and betting on Moore is never a bad idea. Viola Davis stuns in Air, Cara Jade Myers benefits from Lily Gladstone's move to lead, Jodie Foster is a legend, Penelope Cruz stuns in Ferrari, and Erika Alexander could finally get her due for American Fiction. Sandra Huller could be a double nominee, Niecy Nash-Betts could win an Emmy and get an Oscar nod in the same year, Rhea Perlman is nostalgic, and watch out for Lily James, Juliette Binoche, Issa Rae, Audra McDonald, Vanessa Kirby, Rosamund Pike, and Jodie Comer.