Post-Festival Predictions
Mary J. Blige "Respect"
Glenn Close "Hillbilly Elegy"
Olivia Colman "The Father"
Saoirse Ronan "Ammonite"
Amanda Seyfried "Mank"
Other Contenders - Audra McDonald "Respect", Ellen Burstyn "Pieces of a Woman", Helena Zengel "News of the World", Meryl Streep "The Prom", Nicole Kidman "The Prom", Kerry Washington "The Prom", Charlene Swankie "Nomadland", Youn Yun-jung "Minari", Priyanka Chopra "The White Tiger", Dominique Fishback "Judas and the Black Messiah", Da'Vine Joy Randolph "The United States vs. Billie Holiday", Alicia Vikander "The Glorias", Gong Li "Mulan", Linda May "Nomadland", Fiona Shaw "Ammonite", Natasha Lyonne "The United States vs. Billie Holiday", Vanessa Kirby "The World to Come", Olivia Williams "The Father", Debra Winger "Kajillionaire", Toni Collette "I'm Thinking of Ending Things", Lily Collins "Mank", Caitlin FitzGerald "The Trial of the Chicago 7"
Commentary - Is this a rematch of Olivia Colman vs. Glenn Close? It is shaping up to be that way. We already know Colman is fantastic in The Father, and the stars are all aligned for Hillbilly Elegy. But there are plenty of other contenders that could crash the party. Ammonite got decent reviews, but rave ones for its stars. Saoirse Ronan is a perennial nominee, and apparently is great in the film. Mary J. Blige could get a second nod for Respect, although I would watch out for co-star Audra McDonald. Of the two, sight unseen, I am going with the previous Oscar nominee. Mank looks jaw-dropping, and besides Gary Oldman, Amanda Seyfried seems to have a large role. She has been great for years, and an Oscar nomination feels like it is in the cards. Beyond those five, plus McDonald, I would look out for the dynamic trio of Meryl Streep, Nicole Kidman, and Kerry Washington for The Prom, although I think it is going to end up being not great. Some other big names and upstarts with name recognition like Ellen Burstyn, Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Fiona Shaw, Alicia Vikander, Gong Li, Natasha Lyonne, Vanessa Kirby, Dominique Fishback, Priyanka Chopra, Toni Collette, Debra Winger, Lily Collins, Olivia Williams, and Caitlin FitzGerald all have big roles. Finally, newcomers like Helena Zengel, Young Yun-jung, Charlene Swankie could have big breakthrough performances.
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