Wednesday, December 19, 2018

The Oscar Narrative: Pre-Guild Nomination Predictions - Best Supporting Actress

Pre-Guild Predictions
Amy Adams "Vice"
Claire Foy "First Man"
Regina King "If Beale Street Could Talk"
Emma Stone "The Favourite"
Rachel Weisz "The Favourite"

Other Contenders - Margot Robbie "Mary, Queen of Scots", Emily Blunt "A Quiet Place", Nicole Kidman "Boy Erased"

Commentary - Unless BAFTA comes along and throws in a wildcard, this is an eight-way race. SAG threw in two contenders not many were expecting, Blunt for A Quiet Place and Robbie for Mary, Queen of Scots. I think that the SAG Nod here helps build a case for Blunt in Best Actress, and Robbie, while apparently fantastic in the film, would have to overcome the fact that the film's buzz is muted. I am still sticking with the same five I have for awhile. King's miss at SAG puts her win in jeopardy, but I still think enough voters will rally to nominate her. Amy Adams seems like a lock for Vice, and the Favourite duo has yet to cancel each other out. The Globe nod keeps Claire Foy in play, as does the #SeeHer award which will give her ample stage time at the Critics Choice. But as First Man continues to fall in the standings she is vulnerable. Finally, number 8 is Nicole Kidman. Despite no major nominations yet, or wins, she is just one I think should not be ignored.

No comments:

Post a Comment