Amy Adams "Vice"
Claire Foy "First Man"
Regina King "If Beale Street Could Talk"
Emma Stone "The Favourite"
Rachel Weisz "The Favourite"
Other Contenders - Margot Robbie "Mary, Queen of Scots", Nicole Kidman "Boy Erased", Sissy Spacek "Old Man and a Gun", Lupita Nyong'o "Black Panther, Danai Gurira "Black Panther", Michelle Yeoh "Crazy Rich Asians", Natalie Portman "Vox Lux", Maura Tierney "Beautiful Boy", Vera Farmiga "The Front Runner", Thomasin McKenzie "Leave No Trace", Elizabeth Debicki "Widows", Cynthia Erivo "Widows", Michelle Rodriguez "Widows", Meryl Streep "Mary Poppins Returns"
Commentary - We are about a month away from seeing Mary, Queen of Scots, and apprently the acting is great, but the overall product might not be as well-received. Until we know more, I have moved Margot Robbie into that sixth slot. Other than that, not much has changed. Recent Emmy winners Regina King and Claire Foy could find Oscar glory with their well-received performances. Amy Adams is still an unknown entity, but if she lands it, I think she could jump to the top of the pack. She is way overdue for an Oscar, and she has a baity role. Finally, we assume that both Stone and Weisz are going supporting for The Favourite. Two previous Oscar winners in incredible roles is hard to bet against. Beyond Robbie, Nicole Kidman is fantastic in a film whose buzzed is mutd, Sissy Spacek has her best role in years, Natalie Portman returns with a late breaker, Vera Farmiga is apparently great, the Widows ensemble is in the mix, Meryl Streep is Meryl Streep, and blockbusters Crazy Rick Asians and Black Panther could see Michelle Yeoh, Lupita Nyong'o or Danai Gurira overcome genre bias.