Best Variety Talk Series
Will Win - Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
Could Win - Full Frontal with Samantha Bee or Late Show with Stephen Colbert
Should Win - Full Frontal or Last Week Tonight
Commentary - Last Week Tonight looks to extend its dominance in a category that likes repeat winners.
Best Variety Sketch Series
Will Win - Saturday Night Live
Could Win - Portlandia or I Love You, America
Should Win - Saturday Night Live
Commentary - Portlandia is always a possibility and I Love You, America could capture some zeitgeist voters. But lets be honest, if anything other than SNL wins, I will be shocked.
Best Variety Special Pre-Recorded
Will Win - Carpool Karaoke Primetime Special 2018
Could Win - Carol Burnett Show 50th Anniversary and Full Frontal: The Great American* Puerto Rico (*It's Complicated)
Should Win - Dave Chappelle: Equanimity
Commentary - This is a tough category to predict. Dave Chappelle and Samantha Bee are both Emmy winners, and Carol Burnett, Steve Martin, and Martin Short are all legends who will inspire a lot of votes. But I think that Carpool Karaoke, which has won some Emmys in its short history, is such a intricate part of the current cultural zeitgeist, and James Corden is so well-liked, that it will win another Emmy Award.
Best Variety Special Live
Will Win - Jesus Christ Superstar Live
Could Win - The Oscars
Should Win - Jesus Christ Superstar Live
Commentary - If Jesus Christ Superstar wins, then Tim Rice, Andrew Lloyd Webber and John Legend will all become EGOT Winners. That is a cool and unprecedented jump in the number of EGOT winners, as it was taken 82 years for 12 winners. I think that its surprise acting nominations, and stunning total of nominations across the board shows widespread support that will lead to this big historical win.